Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
Insofar as one can draw more general inferences from these results, we can observe some trends:

  1. Obituaries for Europe's centre left are premature. The centre left also came out on top in the recent Swedish and Finnish elections. Centre Left parties are also polling well in Portugal, Denmark and the UK where elections are due or may very well be called soon.

  2. Centre right parties which seek to foil the emergence of far right nationalist parties by moving sharply right look destined to fail. Partido Popular follows in the footsteps of Mark Rutte's centre right VVD party, which lost out to the far right FvD, and the Bavarian CSU which lost out to the AfD despite a sharp turn right in their rhetoric.

  3. Conservative voters seem to be splitting between (older) pro-business establishment types, and quite radical (younger) far right nationalists more concerned with social, religious, racial and identity issues.


Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Apr 29th, 2019 at 06:04:28 PM EST
Centre right parties which seek to foil the emergence of far right nationalist parties by moving sharply right look destined to fail.

That's what happening in France: Laurent Wauqiez, who wrestled the control of Les Républicains from Sarkozy, Fillon and Juppé, has been more and more following in the Le Pen footsteps.

Many who have done that before have failed, and it is not very surprising: voters attracted to racist, nationalist policies have no reason to vote for the ersatz when they can vote for the real thing instead.

by Bernard on Mon Apr 29th, 2019 at 08:18:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Top Diaries

Occasional Series