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The total PSOE+PP+CID+POD+VOX + the Catalonia Independents is 327 seats. Not sure where the remaining 23 seats are going to; some smaller parties, like the Basque nationalists, probably.

Commenters this side of the Pyrénées speculated yesterday that even though the PSOE was expected to come ahead, a PP+CID+VOX coalition for the government was the most likely outcome. I guess the better than expected showing of the Socialists is giving them an edge now.

by Bernard on Mon Apr 29th, 2019 at 01:24:54 PM EST
Yes the other 23 seats go to other regional parties plus 1 for the Greens.

If Sanchez wants an overall majority he needs to bring Podemus plus either the Republican Left of Catalonia party on board (for a total of 280 sets) or a plethora of other regional parties to make up at least 276 sets.

On the other hand he can choose to govern as a minority government and hope that opposition disunity keeps him in power.

Another alternative to a formal coalition is the Irish model of a "confidence and supply" agreement with specific parties whereby they support him in confidence and budget votes but retain some independence on other issues.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Apr 29th, 2019 at 02:36:57 PM EST
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