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I think it is most unlikely the EU (read Macron) will agree to a further extension unless there is a new government with a new approach in place by the end of next October.

Jeremy Hunt says he favours Brexit now because the economic damage of no deal is exceeded by the political damage of no Brexit (read destruction of Tory party).

But that logic applies to the EU as well. There comes a point where the political costs of the ongoing uncertainty may come to exceed the economic costs of no deal - for all members except Ireland.

The EU is already trying to move on. Brexit is going to slip down the list of political priorities entirely by the summer. Very few in the EU (outside Ireland) will care much either way what the UK decides to do after the summer.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Apr 30th, 2019 at 08:32:33 PM EST
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