Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
the problem right now is, like global climate change, any butterfly in the amazon will either cause London to freeze or bake. And there is a storm of butterflies right now.

Predictions have become futile because we make the mistake on basing them on rational analysis. That's why I'm trying so hard not to pay attention; because watching madness descend gives me a headache.

Right now, the main thing is that the Tories will continue their drift rightward into White Nationalism with a side order of Bankster Capitalism. Their membership is already being refreshed with ex-ukip operatives who will cement this tendency into place.

This will alienate a lot of middle class Conservatives who are small business owners who really don't like the oiky, yobby nouves polluting their poltics with their bad-for-business bigotry.

So, I think TInGe (or whatever they end up calling themselves) will probably see a few tories peeling away (their elevation of Heidi Allen as leader rather than Chuka Umunna was a smart move anticipating this). As John Major said at the weekend, "there will always be a need for a political home for modern conservative thinking, but there's no inevitability for that to be the conservative party".

The Tories will become the new ukip, a solid Leave party, but TInGe will replace them. Blairite without the blair, a return to One Nation Conservatism after the Thatcherite excesses.

But that will take time. Between then and now, all is darkness, we're just flies trapped in a bottle of shadows

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Apr 8th, 2019 at 03:18:31 PM EST

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