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The Lib Dems are essentially a status quo party but Labour's change agenda - such as it is - is being drowned out by the Brexit issue which currently Trumps all else. With the Tories also likely to go radical no deal Brexit under a new leader, there may actually be a huge opportunity for a status quo centre ground party to replace either Labour or the Tories in the Westminster duopoly, just as the Brexit Party threatens to do to the Tories.
Corbyn has been absolutely consistent - he wants a general election and may very well get one if Boris fails to muster a Commons majority. If the Brexit party is more successful at splitting the right wing vote than the Lib Dems are at pealing off Labour supporters, then Corbyn will win that one if he promises a second referendum on any new BREXIT deal which Labour manages to negotiate. The SNP could help him make up the numbers...
He can then claim a democratic mandate for whatever the electorate decides and get on with implementing the rest of Labours anti-austerity programme. In this scenario, the EP elections are little more than a glorified opinion poll with the potential to almost destroy the Tories. Farage will crow that he is the next prime Minister in waiting and hard Brexiteers could desert the Tories in a general election as well.
Lots of ifs and buts, and very risky. I think he should have taken the EP elections much more seriously and offered a second referendum now. But its probably too late to make that offer now and he will just have to take a Brexit party win on the chin. The latest opinion polls put him way out in front of the Lib Dems and within striking distance of the Brexit party in any case...
Index of Frank's Diaries
by fjallstrom - Dec 12 67 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 11 9 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 13 14 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 8 51 comments
by Oui - Dec 9 67 comments
by Oui - Dec 4 71 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 27 72 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 1 4 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 1314 comments
by Oui - Dec 133 comments
by fjallstrom - Dec 1267 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 119 comments
by Oui - Dec 967 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 851 comments
by Oui - Dec 471 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Dec 14 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 2772 comments
by gmoke - Nov 26
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 2337 comments
by Oui - Nov 212 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 2072 comments
by Oui - Nov 1510 comments
by ATinNM - Nov 135 comments
by Oui - Nov 134 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 10115 comments
by Oui - Oct 2916 comments