The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
The Lib Dems are essentially a status quo party but Labour's change agenda - such as it is - is being drowned out by the Brexit issue which currently Trumps all else. With the Tories also likely to go radical no deal Brexit under a new leader, there may actually be a huge opportunity for a status quo centre ground party to replace either Labour or the Tories in the Westminster duopoly, just as the Brexit Party threatens to do to the Tories.
Corbyn has been absolutely consistent - he wants a general election and may very well get one if Boris fails to muster a Commons majority. If the Brexit party is more successful at splitting the right wing vote than the Lib Dems are at pealing off Labour supporters, then Corbyn will win that one if he promises a second referendum on any new BREXIT deal which Labour manages to negotiate. The SNP could help him make up the numbers...
He can then claim a democratic mandate for whatever the electorate decides and get on with implementing the rest of Labours anti-austerity programme. In this scenario, the EP elections are little more than a glorified opinion poll with the potential to almost destroy the Tories. Farage will crow that he is the next prime Minister in waiting and hard Brexiteers could desert the Tories in a general election as well.
Lots of ifs and buts, and very risky. I think he should have taken the EP elections much more seriously and offered a second referendum now. But its probably too late to make that offer now and he will just have to take a Brexit party win on the chin. The latest opinion polls put him way out in front of the Lib Dems and within striking distance of the Brexit party in any case...
Index of Frank's Diaries
by IdiotSavant - Oct 14 4 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 14 9 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 10 68 comments
by Oui - Oct 11 35 comments
by Oui - Oct 15 19 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 8 75 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 11 11 comments
by Oui - Oct 8 22 comments
by Oui - Oct 1519 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 15
by Oui - Oct 147 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 149 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 144 comments
by Oui - Oct 1135 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 1111 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1068 comments
by Oui - Oct 822 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 875 comments
by Oui - Oct 329 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 223 comments
by Oui - Oct 25 comments
by Oui - Oct 1
by Oui - Sep 2872 comments
by ARGeezer - Sep 2729 comments
by gmoke - Sep 26
by Oui - Sep 263 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 2626 comments
by Oui - Sep 2538 comments