Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Still, all of what I said above is by the by. May will step down in June and there will be a new Prime Minister. Frankly, and disastrously, it is looking certain that the new one will be an arch-Brexiteer, probably Boris. Yes, there will be defection from the Tories, but personally I doubt it will reach double figures.

Given the rhetoric currently flying around, it's seemingly likely that they will then simply run the clock down to the end of October and leave with no deal. Simply because the only deal available requires an Irish backstop which a majority of leavers have persuaded themselves in unacceptable.

In this scenario, Corbyn's view is irrelevant, for reasons I've detailed before. Which is fortunate because it means that the Tories will own this idiocy in its entirety.

And maybe we need to leave. There is a real crisis of political legitimacy in the country. Westminster has, for years, decades, debated and discussed thingswithout any seeming input from the majority of the country. After the crash of 2008, the tax evading/avoiding City 1% were bailed out, but the bills for that were passed on to the taxpayers. SMEs were driven out of business, mortages became unaffordable, wages stagnated but the unregulated rental sector operated by and for the 1% pushed rents through the roof. For which the government punished the poor by capping the amount of benefit available for rents.

Yes, we can say that the Leave vote was about all of the above and so much more, but these people will feel betrayed if their views are ignored. And there is only one place they will run if that happens, and that's into the welcoming arms of Nigel Farage. No deal will be bad, but a country run by a coalition of Farage and Boris will be even more of a dystopian nightmare. and then we will definitely leave.

So, maybe we need to leave now. Not because it's a good thing, it's not, but because it will quickly be seen to have been a mistake and we can begin to repar the damage more quickly. But if we fudge it and stay in, I doublt we'll be able to return for a generation.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sat May 18th, 2019 at 05:42:16 PM EST

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