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Yeah we missed the 5% cut by a wide margin (3.2%)

Here's my monday-morning quarterback routine.
I'm very pleased that the abstention rate is below 50% for the first time since 1994. 10% more voters than in 2014. Macron sold the election as a referendum, between him and Le Pen. If so, he lost it resoundingly, as his team got a lower percentage (22,3%) than his first-round presidential score, on a lower turnout.

The real objective of that strategy was to concentrate opposition voters on the Le Pen list, RN (which he will always be able to beat on a national level). And in that he has been outstandingly successful : abundant anecdotal evidence, and the poor showing of France Insoumise, demonstrate that  a signicicant number of left voters went for the RN.  The "mainstream" right collapsed to 8%. Thanks to Sarkozy, who left a wasteland behind him.

Macron's strategy also succeeded in suppressing a large part of the left vote (why bother, if it's a two-way referendum?). The profusion of lists on the left also demotivated many.

But looking at the results on the left, it's clear that European issues predominated in voters' choices. There was a much bigger Green wave than predicted by the polls -- 13.4% for the EELV list -- clearly tactical voting on the part of electors, for whom the big European issue is, quite rightly, the climate, and see EELV as the long-standing owners of the issue.

Our "European spring" message, with UE democracy and solidarity alongside the climate, was not audible in this context. So we are in the "wasted vote" category at 3.3%, ahead of the PCF at 2.5% (at least we cleared the 3% hurdle, which means that we get our campaign expenses reimbursed. Which reminds me, I've got a spreadsheet to fill in.)

Full French results

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Mon May 27th, 2019 at 09:34:41 AM EST
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