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The Remain fraction was almost certainly much larger for Labour and much smaller for the Tories.

Disaffected Lexiters very likely voted TBP, and so did most pro-Brexit Tories.

I'd guess at least 60% of Labour voters were pro-Remain, but less than 20% of Tories.

Also, I'd be very surprised if CHUK had significant Brexiter support.

Which would put the numbers closer to those that are being seen in polls, with 55-60% for Remain.

And I don't think anyone wants a compromise. A compromise was never in May's gift, because the ERG and the other headbangers were never going to accept one, and Remainers were only ever going to accept one very reluctantly.

By pushing hard for No Deal, the ERG are going to be left with Remain.

IMO, given party splits and biases, the opposite is far less likely to happen now.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon May 27th, 2019 at 05:55:48 PM EST
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