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Given that the UK negotiating position will be considerably weakened after Brexit, it will be possible both to allow a no deal Brexit happen AND subsequently negotiate a deal preventing a hard border in Ireland. There is also a non trivial political difference between a hard border in Ireland being forced on Ireland by a No deal UK Brexit, and one imposed by a dirty deal between the UK and the Commission. Ireland would simply refuse to implement the latter. Is the EU prepared to go to war with Ireland?

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Jun 13th, 2019 at 04:00:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The UK seems prepared to go to war with itself. Ireland will be a footnote. (As it usually is, from the UK POV.)

In fact Trump will probably declare war with Iran before any of this happens, making Brexit itself a forgotten footnote in the global war that follows.

(No, I'm not in a positive mood today. Thanks for asking.)

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jun 13th, 2019 at 05:38:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We all knew End-Game Middle East War was back in the scenario mix when Der Drumpfenfuehrer brought John Boltbrain back.
by rifek on Sun Jun 16th, 2019 at 04:25:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Because previous military interventions in the middle east have worked so well...

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:28:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What's the old saw about one definition of insanity being repeating the same behavior and expecting different results?  Neocons are straight-jacket/rubber-room/chain-them-to-the-wall-level criminally insane.
by rifek on Sun Jun 16th, 2019 at 12:48:06 PM EST
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Hint: Election Year
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jun 20th, 2019 at 01:15:27 PM EST
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