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I don't think so for several reasons: Merkel used to dump her defeated internal enemies into EU posts, which worked well for her, but I think now is different. I would bet that the CDU can't wait for Merkel to be gone so they can switch to a more openly xenophobic rhetoric in the (probably futile) hope of staving off the AFD. The European far right line has been "The EU wants to flood us with Muslims" from Farage to Orban whereas the German far right accuses Merkel of the same. So putting the two into personal Union won't help the CDU to staunch the bleeding on its right flank.
Not that that isn't a bad strategy, but they pretty much lack the credibility for anything else.

Also a final note: It really doesn't matter what foreign heads of state think about the selected one. After all the position comes with neither divisions nor even a sizeable budget.

by generic on Fri Jun 28th, 2019 at 11:16:37 AM EST
Forgot the other reasons: Does Merkel really have a history of building consensus around policy positions? Her Modus Operandi used to be to not have policy positions until there was a consensus position, which she then appropriated as always having been her position.
From the other direction Merkel floated over Europe's political system as a sort of unreachable authority. Everyone from the Greeks to May tried to appeal directly to her without ever achieving anything. I can't even imagine what Merkel would be without her dead grip over the German political system.
by generic on Fri Jun 28th, 2019 at 11:54:07 AM EST
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All valid points, but the CDU won't get to decide who the next President of the Commission is: Merkel, Macron et al will. For the CDU there is the consolation prize that "one of their own" got the top EU job thereby vacating the Chancellorship early and enabling them to fill that job with someone more to their tastes...

And yes, for Merkel the top EU job will be a step down, without divisions or a large budget. All the more reason to work for a larger budget and a greater role for the EU - something only she, probably could achieve.

And I also think that her style, as you describe it, is probably more suited to the EU gig as she will not be able to move far ahead of the EU Council consensus, even if she wanted to. What did Juncker do? Not a whole lot except keep the show on the road while Brexit and Trump challenged.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Jun 28th, 2019 at 02:02:42 PM EST
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Quatremer is complaining "there are too many Germans already" in the EU's upper echelons of power: Klaus Welle, Martin Selmayr, Helga Schmid...
by Bernard on Fri Jun 28th, 2019 at 06:29:40 PM EST
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EUR-LEX budget on-line
line items (2018), of which How? (EC), of which Why?

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Fri Jun 28th, 2019 at 04:19:10 PM EST
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the CDU can't wait for Merkel to be gone so they can switch to a more openly xenophobic rhetoric
Auftritt bei der CDU-Basis: Hans-Georg Maaßen, die CDU und 1,8 Millionen Araber - Hintergrund - Rhein Neckar Zeitung
"Ich bin vor dreißig Jahren nicht der CDU beigetreten, damit heute 1,8 Millionen Araber nach Deutschland kommen", ruft er in den Saal und wird dafür bejubelt. Er spricht von Menschen, die weder fähig noch gewillt seien, sich zu integrieren.

Former Secret police chief "did not join the CDU 30 years ago so 1.8 million arabs can come to Germany.

by generic on Sun Jun 30th, 2019 at 05:42:48 PM EST
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