Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The Observer is touting Timmermans for the job. Apparently Merkel and Macron would not be against.

I used to be afew. I'm still not many.
by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Sun Jun 30th, 2019 at 04:08:27 PM EST
Timmermans is now considered most probable for Commission president, but the EPP is still holding out for Weber. (Brief summary of several sources).

I used to be afew. I'm still not many.
by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Mon Jul 1st, 2019 at 09:27:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If the EPP want to hold onto the top job, they will have to come up with a candidate with wider support than Weber. Barnier might fit the bill, but so would Merkel....just saying... :-)

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Jul 1st, 2019 at 09:44:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What is the goal?
Price stability for EU business.

What is the problem?
The composition of 2019-2024 EP legislative interests poses a problematic foundation for popular endorsements of Council prerogatives. This is not merely an account of political party diversity or majoritarian formula of authority. Rather, MEPs are asserting latent authority to contest Council "elections". Ex post facto "advice and consent" relations of the body to executive "elections" gradually have reveal limitations of EP representations in the Council itself.

Moreover, real and imaginary interstate antagonism supercede political group loyalties. So-called neoliberal benefit claims, shared by EPP, ALDE, and S&D group members, is context sensitive with respect to practice. An EPP-controlled Council historically contains interstate competition by subletting EU offices to reliable neoliberal individuals, inter alia, in order to reserve for themselves discrete, national authority to bribe parliamentary factions' cooperation. Council appointments of the two most powerful offices in EU gov (EC, ECB) from one member state have not resolved and will not resolve interstate competition.  

That solution would not hold EU27 either politically or superficially. Monopolistic conditions contradict "cohesion" development of EU gov policy and, more significant perhaps, will exacerbate extant interstate "subsidarity" conflicts. It confirms perceptions of systematic, "anti-democratic" barriers to electoral integration within all divisions of European government.

The Council has discarded that solution each of the prior sessions, because "neoliberal" members control its proceedings in any case. It will do so again irrespective of EP veto and censure powers. For these are untested and unlikely to be exercised so long as the Council's selections satisfy minimum criteria of competence (above).


Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Mon Jul 1st, 2019 at 02:36:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
hmm, yes, well, synopses of current events: euractiv published two provocative reports collecting responses to Council fiat appointments, "back-room" is the euphemism for the week. (I truly can't be bothered with Anglo-merican syndicated propaganda about EU gov political competition.)

MEPs furious over Council's `backroom horse-trade' on EU top jobs

Position statements "on the record" seem to illustrate diverse, low-profile sources within (1) EP groups and (2) states' bureaucracies. For that I commend euractiv journalists.

Member states eye EU Commission portfolios

Quite notwithstanding the Council public defense of EU gov hierarchy (quoting Tusk. uh oh), elected officials in both cohorts are intent on ahhh disintermediating the Council's ahhh aristotlian calculus of the ahhh mean, 2019-2024. Methods adopted by those cohorts to accomplish this common goal will exploit formal ("consent" vote) and residual authorities over issue-oriented goals by ahh "back-room" delegations.

practice, practice, practice

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Jul 4th, 2019 at 03:02:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
L'hypothèse Sarkozy refait surface chez Les Républicains
Il faut dire que l'homme politique reste le second homme politique le plus populaire de France, avec 38 % d'opinions positives, derrière Nicolas Hulot (50 %).

the undead

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Sat Jul 6th, 2019 at 04:00:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Quatremer dans Libé: La dernière tentative de compromis soumise aux Vingt-huit par Donald Tusk, le président du Conseil européen, en milieu de matinée, proposait Timmermans à la Commission, la conservatrice bulgare et proche de Viktor Orbán, Kristalina Gorgieva, ancienne commissaire et actuelle numéro 2 de la Banque mondiale, au Conseil européen, la libérale danoise Margrethe Vestager ou le libéral belge Charles Michel au poste de ministre des Affaires étrangères. Et Manfred Weber et le libéral belge Guy Verhofstadt se partageraient la présidence du Parlement européen. Un paquet qui confirme la marginalisation des grands pays qui n'obtiendrait aucun poste clef, même si l'Allemagne pourra se consoler avec une demi-présidence du Parlement.

Mid-morning today, Tusk proposed Timmermans for the Commission, Kristalina Gorgieva for President of the European Council, Vestager or Charles Michel for the High Authority (foreign affairs) and Manfred Weber then Guy Verhofstadt for the EP.

Still no agreement (mostly Visegrad + Romania maintaining opposition to Timmermans). New meeting tomorrow.

I used to be afew. I'm still not many.

by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Mon Jul 1st, 2019 at 01:15:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Further details (in English) from Politico: the scheme was reportedly Shculz's idea, sold to Merkel and then shot down by the majority of the EPP's more junior leaders, including Varadkar .

How Merkel's plan for EU top jobs fell apart

EPP members would go on to question Merkel's motives, saying she had agreed to a deal that was only good for Germany, for her personally, because it would help relations with the Social Democratic Party, her coalition partner in Berlin, and, to a lesser degree, good for Weber who, under the Osaka plan, was envisioned to become Parliament president for a double-term of five years.

The opposition was so fierce that Merkel left the EPP meeting early and headed to the Council's Europa building to huddle with Council President Donald Tusk, French President Emmanuel Macron and others, on how to find a path forward. EPP members continued to seethe after she left.

"It's fair to say there's a lot opposition to the proposal that was made in Osaka from the EPP's point of view," Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said, arriving at the Council summit. "The vast majority of the EPP prime ministers don't believe that we should give up the presidency of the Commission quite so easily, without a fight."

by Bernard on Mon Jul 1st, 2019 at 06:00:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In today's renewed discussions, Macron/Tusk proposed, and Merkel is supposed to be in agreement, Ursula von der Leyen for Commission president, with Lagarde at the BCE.

Bye Bye Timmermans.

I used to be afew. I'm still not many.

by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Tue Jul 2nd, 2019 at 02:57:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But did they consult the EPP in parliament and Council this time around?

If they end up not Weber, but a different German EPP politician, then the relationship between the EPP in parliament and Council will be interesting. The obvious question would be why they didn't nominate Ursula von der Leyen as Spitzenkandidaten to begin with.

by fjallstrom on Tue Jul 2nd, 2019 at 04:01:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Presumably because Weber is leader of the EPP in the EP and Ursula isn't even an MEP. But the thing is, she doesn't even seem to be a particularly distinguished Defence Minister, so why has she appeared from left field when there are other EPP politicians, like Barnier, with so much more European experience.

I suspect a lot of countries don't want Weidman at the ECB, and appointing a German to Head the commission will prevent that, although conceding the President of the Commission is a high price to pay for blocking Weber. It looks like Merkel is serious about wanting to retire, so who else is there? Peter Altmaier? He's not even a woman...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Jul 2nd, 2019 at 04:49:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The only thing I remember her for is that she was widely derided for her internet censorship proposals and this:

German opposition to probe defense minister over spending scandal | News | DW | 12.12.2018

Ursula von der Leyen is suspected of poor management and nepotism over her department's allocation of contracts and its decision to hire a consultant as her deputy. A parliamentary committee is set to investigate.
by generic on Tue Jul 2nd, 2019 at 04:57:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
One of the more amusing situations she created was the following: German army used broomsticks instead of guns during training

And this person is supposed to lead the EU - incredible.

by Fran on Tue Jul 2nd, 2019 at 06:37:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Is she a Barroso?
A puppet, a tool of the Council, a means of sidelining the Commission entirely by making it powerless and laughable?

Seems likely to me.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Wed Jul 3rd, 2019 at 09:47:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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