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The UK wants out. Give them what they want.
She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
And incidently YouGov (not my favourite pollster) has a new poll out showing the Tories (24%) in the Lead and Labour in fourth place (18%) behind Brexit party (23%) and Lib Dems (20%)...
Index of Frank's Diaries
Looking at that hilarious BBC documentary about 2017 that Helen linked at the time, it appeared that it was an increase among traditional non-voters in urban areas, while Labour also lost suburban votes to the Tories. I suspect Labour can win by getting new voters to the polls in England and Wales, even if SNP holds Scotland. Doesn't mean that they will, but I think they can.
In the recent European elections, Scottish Labour failed to win a single seat. Finishing in fifth place, the party lost both of the MEPs it had returned in 2014. Asked how politics and the Labour Party compare to when she first entered Parliament, Dugdale responds that they are "categorically worse on both counts".
I believe I have heard that Scottish Labour is a Blairite stronghold, but I don't know if that played in. The main story in Scotland is probably related to SNP. Disappointment over lack of results after their strong 2015 result?
In England and Wales Labour increased by three and a half million votes. Greens in England and Wales lost half a million, so if we assume that those went to Labour, the rest comes from UKIP and non voters.
The numbers are from Wikipedia, where I fail to find any analysis of flows (there can be flows both to and from non voters that are obscured in the aggregated numbers). UKIP lost 3,3 million votes (in UK) and Tories increased by 2,3 million (in UK). Thinking about it, if a large portion of the Labour increase was from UKIP, it could explain the hesitancy to go against Brexit, rather than criticize the Tories handling of it.
The YouGov polls have a consistent history of underestimating Labour support.
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