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"Getting new voters to the polls" is almost always a pipe dream.  Obama managed it in 2008. I doubt Corbyn has that kind of star power/drawing power.


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Fri Jul 5th, 2019 at 08:57:06 PM EST
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But he already did. One and a half million more voted in 2017 than in 2015, and considering that the Tories increased less than UKIP decreased, and the only other major party that increased was Labour, I think it is a safe guess that Corbyn brought them out. Absent actual studies, of course.
by fjallstrom on Fri Jul 5th, 2019 at 11:19:09 PM EST
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But not in Scotland, it appears.


"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Jul 6th, 2019 at 02:47:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed, in Scotland Labour got essentially the same number of votes as in 2015. They increased their number of seats because SNP lost half a million -a third of their votes - (to the Tories and to not voting), which lost SNP seats. In Scotland participation went down.

I believe I have heard that Scottish Labour is a Blairite stronghold, but I don't know if that played in. The main story in Scotland is probably related to SNP. Disappointment over lack of results after their strong 2015 result?

In England and Wales Labour increased by three and a half million votes. Greens in England and Wales lost half a million, so if we assume that those went to Labour, the rest comes from UKIP and non voters.

The numbers are from Wikipedia, where I fail to find any analysis of flows (there can be flows both to and from non voters that are obscured in the aggregated numbers). UKIP lost 3,3 million votes (in UK) and Tories increased by 2,3 million (in UK). Thinking about it, if a large portion of the Labour increase was from UKIP, it could explain the hesitancy to go against Brexit, rather than criticize the Tories handling of it.

by fjallstrom on Sat Jul 6th, 2019 at 03:07:15 PM EST
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