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Looking at it from the outside, it would seem that "Macron et al want to move onto other business, and not allow the new Commission's period in office to be dominated by Brexit" should be the driving consideration from the EU's viewpoint. Europe is already into this turmoil for another four months, and any further extension or renegotiation is just a further distraction from other affairs.

It will be ironic if some international difficulty (e.g., Iran) triggers the EU to say "enough with the Brexit distraction" and not offer further discussions, allowing J&H to take the UK out without a deal--just at the time when an international difficulty makes it most imperative that the UK be in the EU.

by asdf on Sun Jul 7th, 2019 at 01:38:06 AM EST

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