The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
Supposing a vote of no-confidence, there will be a period of intense tractations.
Intense and zero-time-required transactions? The scenarios for avoiding Brexit are getting hilariously convoluted. According to my limited understanding:
First, parliament needs to be back in session. Second, Corbyn needs to introduce a no confidence motion. Third, BoJo needs to lose the motion. Fourth, BoJo needs to lose his effort to regroup the wavering Conservatives by threatening them with Corbyn. Fifth, Corbyn needs to win his effort to group the anti-Brexit factions. Sixth, assuming that he fails, "somebody else" needs to get a majority. Seventh, either Corbyn or "somebody else" needs to pass a motion to retract or delay Article 50. Eight, that has to go over to the EU Brexit negotiating team, which needs to be gathered back together and put back into operation. Ninth, that team needs to approve it. Tenth, the EU states need to approve it.
All of these items, each one by itself thickly painted in emotion and politics and general craziness, and each one opening numerous avenues that BoJo can use to throw a wrench into the works, have to be completed in approximately six weeks.
Not. Gonna. Happen.
Where there is a will, there is a way. The question, in this case, is whether the majority in Parliament and the country against a no deal Brexit is, or can be, as organised as the pro-Brexit forces. At the moment, the answer has to be no, but there are still some weeks available for this to play out.
Nevertheless "grasping at straws" is probably a fair description of the chances of reversing Brexit at this stage. If there has been any greater incompetence than on the part of successive UK governments, it has been on the part of those in the UK opposed to successive UK governments...
Index of Frank's Diaries
So does Corbyn or "somebody else" issuing a withdrawal letter before an election count as democratic???
It's a mess, that's for sure.
Intense and zero-time-required transactions?
I wrote "a period of", therefore not zero-time. The period being the 14 days required by the fixed-term Parliament Act.
The minimum time for an election is 25 working days, ie 5 weeks. An election could be held before 31 October.
The EU has already signalled readiness to accept an extension for a major democratic event such as a referendum or general election. An extension could be very quickly granted.
Time is not the problem. The problem is that the opposition to no deal will not get their act together/ will not chip off enough Tories to beat the government.
Things are going to slide, slide in all directions
Won't be nothing
Nothing you can measure anymore
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 20 11 comments
by Oui - Nov 21
by ATinNM - Nov 13 5 comments
by Oui - Nov 15 5 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 10 113 comments
by IdiotSavant - Nov 8 18 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 6 39 comments
by Oui - Nov 8 7 comments
by Oui - Nov 21
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 2011 comments
by Oui - Nov 155 comments
by ATinNM - Nov 135 comments
by Oui - Nov 133 comments
by Oui - Nov 124 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 10113 comments
by Oui - Nov 87 comments
by IdiotSavant - Nov 818 comments
by gmoke - Nov 8
by Frank Schnittger - Nov 639 comments
by Oui - Nov 423 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 3155 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 3031 comments
by Oui - Oct 2915 comments
by Oui - Oct 2713 comments
by Cat - Oct 2513 comments
by Oui - Oct 252 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 2532 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 2520 comments