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Looking at UK opinion polling since Boris became Prime Minister, it is clear the Tories have gained a considerable "bounce" from his election, and have an average lead over Labour of 7%. The Lib/Dems are averaging a solid 18% and the Greens 6%. The Brexit party has been the main looser, down to fourth place on 14%, having led 8 of the previous 24 polls since the European elections. UKIP and ChangeUK meanwhile, have almost disappeared off the electoral map. Based on these numbers, the only chance Labour and the Lib Dems have of defeating Boris is by having an electoral pact whereby the better placed of their candidates at the 2017 General election is given a free run at the conservative candidate. Otherwise, with a mere 31% of the vote, Boris can win an overall majority. Such are the joys of a first past the post electoral system.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Aug 26th, 2019 at 04:12:47 PM EST

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