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The problem is that given the UK FPTP electoral system, 30% of the vote can be sufficient to win an overall majority provided the opposition is sufficiently divided. Presumably the Brexit party will fade away after a no deal Brexit as their whole raison d'etre will have been achieved. That would mean Boris could clean up on the pro-Brexit vote.

The other problem is that if Brexit results in considerable disruption, voters will be urged to teach Jonny foreigner a lesson that Britain will not be cowed. The Dunkirk spirit all over again. Only one candidate will be promising to "make a success of Brexit" and that would be Boris. Voters will hardly vote for someone who said Brexit will be a disaster.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Aug 29th, 2019 at 09:35:02 PM EST
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