I would be interested in your (and Afew's) view of how France will respond to a no deal Brexit at an elite and popular level. Will UK exports be "discouraged" at Calais? Will "sectoral agreements" in the absence of a withdrawal deal be permitted? Will Johnson et al be indulged afterwards or shunned like the plague?

And similarly for Germany. They may onlt we awakening slowly to the prospect of a no deal Brexit, but once they get going, how will they respond, especially if a recession beckons?

My own sense is that the whole ball game will change after a n deal Brexit, but I am struggling to  get a sense for how much, and how quickly.  

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