Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
RE the UK, it now looks sure that Johnson intends to crash out on October 31, and hold an election very soon afterwards. So that checks out.

An election is what Corbyn wants. Given the billionaire-media noise machine and the dirty-tricks brigade, in the razzmatazz of gung-ho Brexit, I doubt if he will be audible enough to win it.

Re the EU, I think your points are correct. Caving in to the UK would cost the EU countries far more than dealing with a crash-out, or even a trade war with the UK.

So what the dreaded cards foretell is a crash-out, a new Tory majority in Westminster, and a trade war.

Every farthing of the cost will be paid of course, but by whom?

Things are going to slide, slide in all directions
Won't be nothing
Nothing you can measure anymore
L. Cohen

by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Tue Aug 6th, 2019 at 12:30:27 PM EST

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