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It all depends on Parliament stopping Boris from making a no-deal Brexit and then what happens after that is achieved. If a no-deal happens Boris wins. If a second referendum supports Leave Boris wins. If a second referendum supports Remain Boris probably goes down in flames.

If a general election occurs in November Boris has a good chance. If a general election is held next spring Boris's chance is not so good. But Boris could well ask for a November-December election if he is able. The biggest factor is likely to be turnout. Who is energized and who is discouraged.

Failing all else, perhaps the Queen will dismiss Boris after October 19 and ask Corbyn to form a government. Then it depends on how big of a wrecker Jo Swinson is willing to be. A sad state of affairs.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Thu Oct 3rd, 2019 at 04:03:33 AM EST
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