Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Without effective political cooperation on a global scale global warming will spin out of control, global corporations will run amok becoming de facto governments of whole regions, the rich will get richer and the poor will end up fighting the poor for scraps from the rich man's table. That is the reality of the political dynamics unleashed, in part, by Trump and Brexit.

Trump and Brexit = politics on behalf of rich men. Who are now filthy, stinking rich. And can plan their Randian future of private islands and super-yachts and GM offspring, big profits and no tax, just as long as there is no effective political cooperation on a global scale. The UN and its subsections are already toothless, expect attacks to redouble until the UN crumbles. The EU will not cease to be under attack, from the US and the Anglosphere (along "evil empire" lines), from Russian "irredentism" wrt its former zone of influence (Eastern and Central European countries are far from being assured of a comfortable ride to security and prosperity).

If the EU is to survive and continue to exercise soft power, it will have to mightily up its game. Which means that Germany will have to decide if it wants the EU or if it doesn't. Merkel wanted the EU, though she would never envisage the measures that were needed to make the EU more harmonious and therefore strong (not that transferring a few points of trade surplus towards better incomes across the board within Germany would have been such an unmöglich sacrifice). Who will replace her, with (manipulated and manipulatory) nationalist populism on the rise?

"Brexit" is the tacky political advertising brand name for the politics of ultra-rich authoritarian libertarians (not a contradiction in terms: I am totally free, you are not). The game that works for them is releasing resentment in entire populations that their own enrichment has contributed to impoverish. At the moment, it's a winning game. If the EU is to remain and succeed, there's a long, hard slog ahead.

Things are going to slide, slide in all directions
Won't be nothing, nothing you can measure anymore
L. Cohen

by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Fri Jan 31st, 2020 at 08:23:41 AM EST

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