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The last two Presidents to fail in a re-election bid - Carter and Bush snr.-  both failed because the economy failed (and a third candidate split the Republican vote in the case of Bush).

The chances of the economy cratering sufficiently between now and November are probably low. The Dems best chance of winning if another Republican (Romney?) splits the Republican vote again.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Jan 31st, 2020 at 06:23:45 PM EST
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