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The other election is a standard election basically between Ossoff (Dem) and Perdue (GOP, incumbant) with most aggregators giving Perdue a slight edge although Quinnipiac University recently had Ossoff +6.
I would have both elections in the toss-up category but the problem with Dems winning elections in conservative states like this is that they then vote so conservatively, they might as well be Republicans. You need a candidate who's happy to do the job properly for 6 years and not to concerned with re-election after that. Otherwise the evangelicals and money men have you by the balls.
Index of Frank's Diaries
OK, it's just metro Atlanta, but this is still a sizable proportion of GA population.
It also has far fewer non-college whites than a lot of southern states, and it's much more urban/suburban.
The real story, if there winds up being one, will probably be Biden eating into the northern suburbs (Gwinnett County, Cobb County, etc). It's the "college-educated white people -- especially women -- don't like Trump" story. Clinton carried those counties pretty narrowly. Stacey Abrams then won them soundly. I figure Biden's got to hit about 60% in Gwinnett to have a real shot.
Again, that's all a big if. Gun to my head, I'd still probably bet on Trump holding on to it, but it should be pretty close.
Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
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