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Can a broken clock be right for the second time?

'People Are Going To Be Shocked': Return of the 'Shy' Trump Voter?

The Trafalgar polls indicate a Trump Electoral College win ... again.

Florida presidential poll: Trump 48.4% beats Biden 46.1%

Robert Cahaly founder

by Oui on Sat Oct 31st, 2020 at 03:03:01 PM EST
Neither Trafalgar nor Politico is a quality source of information.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Sat Oct 31st, 2020 at 06:03:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well aware of that, these people do exist. Will the election result be a statistical average of polls ... or will a poll come closest to the true result based on superior methodology? I'll opt for the latter. Performance of US polls have a poor track record on the presidential election since 2000 ... even the exit polls show discrepancies. It could be the large movement of voter opinion, or the influence of master minding the vote as Cambridge Analytica together with Facebook executed four years ago. I personally believe in a clear win for Joe Biden, contrary to my great doubt about Hillary Clinton in 2016. My estimate EC on the lower end is Biden 300 vs. Trump 240.
by Oui on Sat Oct 31st, 2020 at 09:40:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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