Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
If Trump doesn't up his vote total from 2016, Biden's going to turn him into mulch.  

I think he will though, just because everybody's amped-up for this one.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Oct 7th, 2020 at 06:26:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There's nobody left for Trump to mobilize and he's lost swathes of voters.  

At best he'll get ~60 million.  I wouldn't be surprised if he got much less than that.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 03:05:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
He could get zero votes in California, New York, Illinois, and Oregon and still win. The so-called Purple States are the only ones that count.
by StillInTheWilderness on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 03:30:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
100% accurate but the topic was total vote.


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 06:30:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Total vote means absolutely nothing.
by StillInTheWilderness on Fri Oct 9th, 2020 at 01:36:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nate Silver's model shows a non-trivial chance of Trump winning the college despite losing the popular vote by 5%.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Oct 9th, 2020 at 10:58:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
About a 2% chance if he lost the popular vote by 5+:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1301190941110341632


Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri Oct 9th, 2020 at 11:23:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Trump rips `FiveThirtyEight' pollster for 2020 election prediction
The pollster "FiveThirtyEight" gave Trump a 14 percent chance of winning the election and Biden a 86 percent chance, citing 40,000 simulations it ran of the November contest.

In 2016, the polling site said Clinton had a 71.4 percent chance of winning and Trump had a 28.6 percent chance.

by Bernard on Sun Oct 11th, 2020 at 06:15:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Use this as a guideline: 55% voter turnout means Rethuglicans win; 60% turnout means Dems win; 65% means Dems win big; 70% means Rethuglican Party is crushed.
by rifek on Sun Oct 25th, 2020 at 03:04:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series