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Biden currently has comfortable advantages (i.e. circa 2 times the polling margin of error) in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. That is all the Democrats need to win at this stage. However, four years ago Clinton had larger advantages in these three states and end up losing them all.

But. Biden is polling much stronger than Clinton in a large number of other "battleground" states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Texas and New Hampshire. And  momentum seems at this stage to be towards Biden, whereas four years ago it was slipping away from Clinton.

Naturally, none of this matters that much, as the Republican party is working to have state legislatures nominating electoral college members directly. After which all sorts of crazy things will follow.

Final note: I suspect this will be the last time Texas votes Republican. The demographics and economics of that state are changing fast and away from the rural mind frame of yesteryear.

luis_de_sousa@mastodon.social

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]protonmail[dot]ch) on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 06:13:09 AM EST
" as the Republican party is working to have state legislatures nominating electoral college members directly" How anachronistic of them. That's what the USA started with.

Wisconsin: I suspect that the Kenosha looting and burning turned a lot of voters to trump. They wouldn't tell  pollsters that. People do lie to pollsters when they are ashamed to admit who they are voting for.

by StillInTheWilderness on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 03:43:00 PM EST
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Wisconsin has an undeserved reputation for liberalism.  

There are parts that are out right Nazi and huge swatches of racists and bigots.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Thu Oct 8th, 2020 at 06:34:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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