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The Real Clear politics definition of Battlegrounds (2020 vs. 2016) is: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona - and doesn't include new battleground states like Ga and TX. While these widen the playing field where Biden is competitive I wouldn't want to be relying on them as potential tipping point states.

Nate Silver currently has Pennsylvania as the tipping point state and NE2, Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Ohio are all tending blue on top of that before you get to Georgia, ME2, Iowa and Texas as potential swing states. We're in landslide territory if any of the last four turn blue.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Oct 7th, 2020 at 11:08:25 AM EST
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