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See my earlier comment taking average of polls is deceiving and statistically nonsense ... FiveThirtyEight lists the quality ranking of polls and one can filter the poor ones out  Bij tomorrow night we'll ridicule many pollsters that were way off.

It has been clear 😉 RCP listed the Rasmussen and Emerson polls more frequent that the true quality polls, that kept the average low to optically keep Trump in the race.

See the comparison with Andrew Johnson above. Trump has solidified his base of radicals during the four years ... that's approx. 35% of the electorate ... the Red States will turn Dark Red while he lost the Mid West Great Lakes states which he so surprisingly managed to steal from Hillary Clinton. Trump is toast.

by Oui on Tue Nov 3rd, 2020 at 06:48:55 PM EST
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