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Well --- fuck

So F goes R again?

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 12:29:14 AM EST
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Trump winning with the Hispanics, Cubans, and Blacks (!)

Astonishing. I suspect some very carefully targeted online scare-campaigning.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 12:35:50 AM EST
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So many people pre-voted anything you hear from Exit Polling is likely to be nonsense.


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 12:37:54 AM EST
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That's votes counted, not exit polling. The current NYT projection shows >80% chance of Trump winning FL.
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 12:39:36 AM EST
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Nonsense ... a nailbiter ... way too early to call! 🤣
by Oui on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 12:46:41 AM EST
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It's now 95%. So much for FL.

The overall projection is still for Biden to win overall, although not decisively. But this assumes NC will go Biden because polling. And there are no votes counted yet.

So... perhaps. It's all worryingly within the MoE. And the polls suggested Biden was going to take FL with a 2% lead.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 12:47:03 AM EST
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The real story in Florida seems to be that Biden just flubbed it.

As soon as the early vote dump came from Miami-Dade, friends and I immediately said Trump had Florida.  I didn't need to see anything else.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 01:31:30 AM EST
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There's a mistaken liberal expectation that non-white voters cannot possibly be right-leaning, and that's a deadly mistake.
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 01:33:53 AM EST
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by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 02:39:53 AM EST
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by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 02:41:42 AM EST
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by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 04:22:53 AM EST
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by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 04:33:27 AM EST
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No. Neither scares nor bots. You can't scare a magical margin of error that's got nothing more to lose, rightfully mistrust both figureheads, and is ready to run off the reservation. I warned y'all. The bottom fell out of the DNC bag.
Obama's unintelligible whistle-stop tour this past week for Biden certainly was no help at all, because it reminded people how big a disappointment that duo was.
by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 01:16:17 AM EST
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There was never any expectation SC would flip.  All the polling had Trump taking it.  

What will be interesting is the Senate race.  There is a slim possibility Ms. Lindsey will end-up losing.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 01:25:39 AM EST
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SC predictive power is uncontested -- "First in the South"--no? Or Kamala?!
by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 01:44:12 AM EST
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"women and minorities" edition
by Cat on Wed Nov 4th, 2020 at 01:49:35 AM EST
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