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In very good news for Democrats it is highly likely if Biden takes a state with a Senate race - or two - the Senate seat show go Blue as well.

Large Shares of Voters Plan To Vote a Straight Party Ticket for President, Senate and House

A recent analysis of U.S. Senate elections since 2012 shows how rare it is for a Senate race to go a different way from a state's votes in presidential elections. In 139 regular and special elections for the Senate since 2012, 88% have been won by candidates from the same party that won that state's most recent presidential contest.

Now add:

the growing body of evidence on the congressional-district and statewide level showing that Trump's political problems are metastasizing and having a strong drag on down-ballot Republicans. That extends from the Senate to the House and even down to the state-legislative level, with serious congressional and legislative redistricting implications.

And winning the presidency and winning the Senate seem locked in tandem.  

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 3rd, 2020 at 06:38:48 AM EST
And I forget to say that in Georgia the winning candidate has to get over 50% of the vote to win the seat.  So there's a good chance they'll be having a Senate runoff on Jan 5, 2021.


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Tue Nov 3rd, 2020 at 06:42:18 AM EST
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