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Digging through these numbers and how our side pieced it together, I think there's a very high probability that if the nominee's anybody other than Biden -- Bernie, Warren, Mayo Pete, whomever -- we lose the Electoral College, honestly.

Black folks in South Carolina may well have saved us all.

Obviously we only get one observation, so we can't truly ever know, to be fair.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Nov 8th, 2020 at 10:14:20 PM EST
Of two very unpopular presidential candidates, Trump squeaked a victory in 2016.

The most unpopular president ever who stayed four years clear of 50% popularity in polls, it were Republican voters who couldn't stand the re-election of Trump who decided the election in the 4 or 5 other states than Georgia that flipped the election.

It was an election of anyone but Trump ... even with Joe Biden the Republicans played the socialist and even communist card.

After disappointing results in Congress, a civil war among Democrats is brewing | The Independent |

After being denied a repeat of 2018's "blue wave" election results this year, congressional Democrats will limp back to Washington in January with a narrowed majority, no control of the Senate, and exposed fault lines that could grow into significant fissures just two years from now, insiders say.

Voters delivered a stunning rebuke to Democrats' plans for unified government on Tuesday by giving Republican challengers back a number of the seats their party lost just two years ago.

The DNC and Democratic Congressional leaders have a BIG problem.

by Oui on Sun Nov 8th, 2020 at 10:51:40 PM EST
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I don't think we should overstate this though.

For whatever reason -- everybody's got theories here obviously -- Trump drives up turnout with a very large base that just happens to be electorally advantageous.

I question whether that holds without him at the top of the ticket.  See, e.g., 2018.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Nov 8th, 2020 at 11:46:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The far right tends to vote for dominant personality leadership figures, whereas libruls are more policy and process focused. Republicans probably need Trump to stick around for a while, to keep their base agitated.

McConnell's focus now will be to resuscitate the party of NO and prevent Biden from actually doing anything - counting on Libruls to get disillusioned blaming Biden for the failure to get anything done.

The importance of the two Georgia senate elections cannot be over-stated, if Biden is even going to get his cabinet picks confirmed, and any worthwhile legislation passed. Hopefully Republicans will be somewhat deflated by Trump's loss resulting in a lower turn-out in January.

If Trump is still resisting evacuating the White House at that stage, Democrats will be energised and independents will be wanting a new administration formed, so hopefully the Georgia election margin can be repeated then.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 12:05:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Trump hates the fucking job.  Always has.  He didn't want to win in 2016, and he'd have been perfectly happy to lose this if he could escape without being a Big Loser, because he's a lizard-brained imbecile.

It wouldn't shock me if the GOP gets very little out of him on those races.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 12:14:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
every. single. election.
by Cat on Sun Nov 8th, 2020 at 11:50:30 PM EST
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Black folks in South Carolina may well have saved us all.

In Georgia, you mean? (South Carolina went for Trump 55%)

But yeah, especially black women, starting with Stacey Abrams.

by Bernard on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 07:06:56 PM EST
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I think Drew means South Carolina saved Biden's ass in the primaries after he had performed badly in Iowa and New Hamshire

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 07:16:58 PM EST
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How many delegates did Kamala?! collect?
by Cat on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 08:13:39 PM EST
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SC may be where it started, but Georgia will definitely be what may bring a possible Senate majority (with Kamala as tie-breaker). And without the Donald at the top of the ticket, the dynamics are not in the GOP's favor.

Ossoff challenges Perdue to three debates ahead of January Senate runoff - The Hill

Democrat Jon Ossoff on Monday challenged Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) to three televised debates ahead of their January Senate runoff election in Georgia.
by Bernard on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 09:10:07 PM EST
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I reminded myself only minutes ago, the DNC majority in both chambers --PLUS Kamala?!'s redundant filibuster nuke--is the perfect antidote to the Anti-RBG!

And King Capo Clyburn

The lobbyist will be scribbling NEW! legislation 24/7 from 21 Jan. 2021 is going to be great.

by Cat on Mon Nov 9th, 2020 at 10:50:44 PM EST
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