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The "red mirage/blue shift" phenomenon is actually the norm with the popular vote for this reason.  Recall that Obama only led McCain by about 3 points on Election Night in 2008 and won by 7.2.  If memory serves, Romney actually led Obama slightly around 11PM on Election Night in 2012 (ironically Trump had a meltdown on Twitter about the Electoral College over it), but Obama wound up winning by 3.9.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2020 at 11:02:19 AM EST
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