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So a three party system can be done, though it seems likely that one of FG or FF will decline.
What is different this time is how closely grouped the three parties are. If Fianna Fail and Fine Gael form a joint coalition and rotate the office of Taoiseach, then the ultimate outcome is still in doubt. But the suspicion is that whoever loses ground is set for a precipitous decline the next time around.
The Labour party and the Social democrats - 6 seats each - have both said they won't enter into a FF/FG government arrangement- fearful of being seen to prop up a conservative government at a time when the electorate voted for change. The Greens, being a policy driven party, might just about get away with it, if they are seen to have a significant and positive impact on policy.
But most likely is probably a FF/FG government propped up by a mixed bag of independents cutting local deals on hospitals, roads, and targetted expenditure in their constituencies - to the annoyance of everybody else, particularly government back-benchers in constituencies not so favoured. But another election is also possible if FF/FG can't get their act together, and then I would expect Sinn Fein to do even better.
Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 3 24 comments
by eurogreen - Jun 28 24 comments
by gmoke - Jun 28
by Oui - Jul 5 10 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 27 1 comment
by Oui - Jun 25 12 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 16 10 comments
by Oui - Jun 17 67 comments
by Oui - Jul 7
by Oui - Jul 510 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 324 comments
by gmoke - Jun 29
by eurogreen - Jun 2824 comments
by gmoke - Jun 28
by Oui - Jun 2714 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 271 comment
by Oui - Jun 2512 comments
by Oui - Jun 1767 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 1610 comments
by Oui - Jun 158 comments
by Oui - Jun 1210 comments
by Oui - Jun 89 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 79 comments
by Oui - Jun 778 comments
by Oui - May 29164 comments
by Oui - May 22130 comments