Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
The rise of Sinn Fein puts them in the driving seat as regards forming a government, and a FF/Sinn Fein government seems to be the only stable government which can be formed based on these results. This will require FF to ditch their prior opposition to coalition with SF based on the "new electoral realities and the expressed wishes of the people".

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 04:55:05 PM EST
The alternative is that Sinn Fein hold out in the hope of forcing a second election where they can field more candidates and maximise their representation better - in the hope they might emerge as the largest party and in a position to claim the leadership of any government. Michael Martin, leader of FF, will, on the other hand be desperate to form a Government as leader as this could be his last chance of becoming Taoiseach.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 05:03:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is ironic that Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum cannot unite with each other.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 07:05:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The equivalent situation in the US would be where a third party threatened the duopoly of the Dems and Repubs and they were expected to unite against a common threat. Would they?

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 07:47:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They always do, but by changing electoral laws to prevent such threats, not by forming a government together. I guess in Ireland the major parties don't get to do that, fortunately.
by IdiotSavant on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 09:30:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Tried twice in the sixties: lost a referendum narrowly the first time, in a landslide the second time.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 10:41:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They could, but it would end badly for them; it hasn't worked so well in Germany, for example.
(Pedants will point out that the SPD and the CDU/CSU have important ideological differences. But these are mostly historical rather than over current policy, as with FF/FG.)

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Feb 10th, 2020 at 10:06:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sinn Fein would be daft to force another election when joining with FF would give them "electoral respectability" and put the Troubles behind them.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 08:18:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Expecting Sinn Fein to do the smart thing = triumph of hope over experience

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 08:25:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They're in a great negotiating position. This is Martin's last chance, if they ran more candidates in a repeat election they would win more seats (based on the current vote percentage) and could even become the largest party. Unlikely, but a temptation.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 08:36:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But currently they're able to be an opposition party, anti-establishment etc etc. Hard to pull that off when you're in power.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Sun Feb 9th, 2020 at 10:38:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series