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The Corona Crisis gets real | 89 comments (89 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)
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Coronavirus - the science: The search for `patient zero'.
Researchers assessing number of undiagnosed and how infectious these people are
What forced a change of tack in the UK on Monday was new data on the impact of Italy's out-of-control epidemic on its health service where 30 per cent of hospitalised patients had to be admitted to intensive care. Modellers at Imperial College and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine who advise government crunched those numbers - and the death toll and pressure on the NHS that came out were unacceptable.

The mitigation strategy the government had just announced would lead to 260,000 deaths. That would be not just deaths from the virus, but from other illnesses the NHS would be too hard-pressed to treat. Hence, measures were scaled up again - though not nearly as extensive as in Ireland.



Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 03:23:06 PM EST

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The Corona Crisis gets real | 89 comments (89 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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