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For instance, let us presume that one major loci was a ski resort. Social distance might be very low and a lot of people could quickly be infected. Most of these people might leave the resort before the first case is confirmed there, especially with this being in the USA. Now some of the unsymptomatic infected might leave the resort and some of those might go back to a college town, where many more people could be exposed before the first infection is confirmed. That new locus would likely have a low doubling number and a high number of infected individuals.
But others exposed at the ski resort might go back to a remote farm or ranch where there are only a handful of potential targets, thus limiting the scope of that locus. Still others might leave the state, carrying the infection to different states. They would not be counted in the state statistics if they were not detected before they left.
The daily number of infected people shown in the Wiki graph I used would indicate that the national rate of doubling is a bit longer than it could be based on the Colorado number. But the USA is so woefully behind in testing that it is hard to draw any solid conclusions. I heard tonight that the Governor of Connecticut has twenty nurses from ONE hospital in his state that are home on self isolation because of possible exposure, where they have to remain because he cannot get them tested so that those not infected could return to work.
"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
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