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All the data you need is here. Leo Varadker is forecasting 15,000 cases by the end of March.

For global data see here

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 03:34:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The US numbers are worthless.  Very limited supply of test kits means very limited testing meaning very limited data on the scale of the problem.


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 06:51:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Presumably the real numbers will start appearing in the deaths column, if they do honest postmortems , that is.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 07:36:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
FLORIDA oncologist treated my dad (81) for atypical prostate cells. No tumor present. He got forty (40) consecutive days radiation exposure. 60 days later WBC ->0. Prescribed weekly transfusions to treat acquired AML, pro-forma assignment to bone marrow transplant, Medicare billing hours "medical team" BALLOONS. Dies 8 months later.

Cause of Death printed on certificate?
"failure to thrive"

by Cat on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 07:57:59 PM EST
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I hated too give your post an 'excellent', but there is no alternative. When did your dad die? I had prostate cancer diagnosed in 2000 and tried hormone therapy to shrink the prostate prior to planned 'brachiotherapy', but the prostate did not shrink sufficiently and I elected to go with radical  prostatectomy. I had three data points that I could connect to an exponential curve.

A few years later my younger brother had a similar problem but different recommendations. He waited longer and found that, though the PSA rose to twice what had triggered my decision, it later declined and then bounced around.

Between my case and his urologists had learned a bit about the progression. But, if the cancer metastasizes it often goes to bone and can lead to a very painful death. My doctor was with Kaiser, and they are large enough to have their own statistical analysis. I don't fault them. It was just a hard call at the time.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Mar 18th, 2020 at 09:30:10 PM EST
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2012, about 2 years before the Brachytherapy "best practice" fad faded.
by Cat on Thu Mar 19th, 2020 at 02:24:42 AM EST
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