Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Yes, well they are backing away from that approach, it seems.

After failing to mandate widespread social distancing last week, an approach that went against the grain of the rest of the world and advice from the World Health Organization, the UK government has now started to ease these restrictions in. It is not clear if this was part of the plan of escalation all along, or rather a U-turn precipitated by robust criticism.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 04:11:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Trump and Johnson exchanges in their profound wisdom ... when in math 1 plus 1 equals zero.

The discrepancy between the analysis and statements (warnings) from the WHO and what the public got from the White House and Downing Street became a stark contrast.

WE Forum: 3 charts that helped change coronavirus policy in the UK and US

In his first daily press conference on the coronavirus pandemic on 16 March, the UK's Prime Minister Boris Johnson outlined a raft of new key measures to curb the spread of infection, saying "drastic action" was needed.

They include avoiding gathering in public places, working from home where possible, everyone in a household self-isolating for 14 days if one person gets sick, and the over-70s and most vulnerable minimizing social contact.

At the same time, the White House released new guidelines [NYT] urging Americans to avoid gatherings of more than 10, to work from home, only shop for essential items and stop eating in restaurants.

A Squabble :: Donald and Boris on the China virus ... it's foreign to me. Donald by phone: "I did warn you Boris, you wouldn't listen ... that Huawei 5G is a danger to our National Security. We got it through travel from our greatest ally., and your London City airport. We were gonna bail you out from that Brexit crisis, now look what's leftover from my gains on Wall Street -- #!$%*&£." ☹


These three charts show the impact of doing nothing, compared to taking more drastic action, according to the report, which has not yet been peer-reviewed.

To find the best-case scenario for reducing the number of deaths and impact on the hospitals, the report modelled two different strategies for dealing with the outbreak in both countries.

  • Mitigation: Focuses on "slowing but not necessarily stopping epidemic spread - reducing peak healthcare demand while protecting those most at risk of severe disease from infection".

  • Suppression: Aims to "reverse epidemic growth, reducing case numbers to low levels and maintaining that situation indefinitely".

While both strategies pose challenges, the scientists found that mitigation measures (home isolation of those with symptoms and others in the household and social distancing of the elderly and vulnerable) would reduce deaths by half and peak healthcare demands by two-thirds.

But the outbreak would still result in 250,000 deaths in Britain, and 1.1 to 1.2 million in the US, with the 'surge capacity' of intensive care units overwhelmed "at least eight-fold".

'Sapere aude'
by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 05:45:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Source report here.

It looks as if the UK government got it badly wrong and now realizes this.

But what on earth is Mark Rutte thinking?

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 06:02:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Presumptuous ... thinking?

Mostly a copy-cat formula of policy from Boris (Europe) and Occupier in the White House (World).

In the Obama years, Rutte speeches almost proverbial in essence. Anglophile and some common dreams: Royal Shell and Unilever.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Tue Mar 17th, 2020 at 06:18:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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