The patterns of a pandemic | 62 comments (62 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Dutch IC Protocol: From Code Red to Black (4.00 / 2)

10k hospitalised out of 25K tested positive is a 40% hospitalisation rate - higher than Ireland's 26%.

You also have to be symptomatic to be tested in Ireland and the criterion has recently been tightened from one symptom to two. There is a 40K backlog of people waiting to be tested so presumably that will result in another spike of positives as the testing rate ramps up to 10K per day. Currently 1564 have tested positive out of c. 18k tests carried out - a c. 9% positive rate which would indicate the 40,000 backlog will reveal another 3.6K positives when completed.

More statistics in official epidemiological report

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 03:08:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dutch IC Protocol: From Code Red to Black (4.00 / 3)

Ah there you go, only 39 in ICU out of 305 hospitalisations.

Bearing in mind that triage is in full swing in France : in the East, and in the Paris region, you certainly won't get a respirator if you're not deemed likely to survive. Also, hospitals are not admitting COVID patients from old people's homes, they are literally leaving them to die in their institutions.

These are the decisions that they make every day in hospitals; that is what doctors do, and there's no point in criticising. The French health system is apparently expecting the peak to arrive in the middle of next week. I certainly hope it's that soon.

_{It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue
- Queen Elizabeth II}

by eurogreen on Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 03:22:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Sudden Rise Deaths and Cases in Germany (none / 1)

From yeterday's post - Trump: It's About #Me, Not Others

Daily Situation Report - Robert Koch Institute

Chronology: Germany and the Coronavirus | Berlin Spectator |

The number of cases keep on rising ...

The man with the white shock of hair in Room 4 of the intensive care unit wasn't able to breathe. But now, a tube has been placed in his throat and oxygen is flowing into his lungs. You can see through the window on the door to the room how his chest is moving up and down in time with the ventilator, 28 times a minute. The 83-year-old is fighting the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

[Source: Are Hospitals Ready for the Coming Wave of Corona Cases? | Der Spiegel |]

Controled treatment with attention for compassion!

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 03:42:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dutch IC Protocol: From Code Red to Black (none / 0)

I'm not aware of anyone being refused optimum hospital care in Ireland yet whether from an old folks home or otherwise. Of course that may change, but for the moment it would explain a large part of the 10 fold difference in case mortality rates

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 08:58:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The surge begins? (none / 1)

10 more deaths and 255 new cases confirmed in the Republic: Ten more patients with Covid-19 have died, by far the highest daily death toll so far in the outbreak.

The deaths occurred among three women and seven men; nine were from the east of the country and one from the south.
Thursday also saw a record daily number of new confirmed cases, at 255, according to the National Public Health Emergency Team.
There have now been a total of 1,819 cases of coronavirus in the Republic, and 19 deaths.
The average age of those who died is 79, NPHET said. Some 68 per cent were male and 32 per cent were female.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 09:03:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dutch IC Protocol: From Code Red to Black (4.00 / 2)

Also : the test used in France is acknowledged to have a high rate of false negatives, up to 40% ... Myself, I'd rather not bother with the test.

The strategy here is to roll out mass testing, with a new generation of rapid and more reliable tests, at the end of the confinement stage.

_{It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue
- Queen Elizabeth II}

by eurogreen on Thu Mar 26th, 2020 at 03:32:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A day late... (none / 0)

Coronavirus: French PM warns 'first 15 days of April will be even more difficult' as death toll rises - The Local

France orders one billion masks from China
Veran said the government's aim was three-pronged: Increase the number of intensive care beds, get the necessary equipment and human reinforcements for hospitals and to transfer patients around the country to ease pressure on certain hospitals.
The number of intensive care beds in France was initially 5,000, which has since risen to around 10,000 but the government hopes to increase it to 14,500.
Veran said the government was exploring various avenues to get hold of enough masks for French health workers, notably via an increase in production within France to make 8 million a week and by ordering more than one billion from China.
Five million tests ordered
The French health minister also said the country had ordered 5 million coronavirus tests that will be able to show a positive or negative result within 15 minutes.
Between now and the end of April France will be able to carry out 30,000 more tests a day. That number will rise to 60,000 in May and 100,000 a day by June, said Olivier Veran.
France currently carries out around 12,000 tests a day.
Separately the health minister has asked elderly care homes known as Ehpad to keep residents in individual isolation. It comes after numerous deaths have occurred in care homes, especially in eastern France.

by Bernard (bernard) on Sat Mar 28th, 2020 at 08:24:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

one billion? (none / 0)

o, m'k. Hold my beer.

by Cat on Sat Mar 28th, 2020 at 10:15:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The patterns of a pandemic | 62 comments (62 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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