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Comparing different approaches to Covid-19 containment | 56 comments (56 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)
You can fudge the numbers but you can't hide death (4.00 / 3)
A good point of comparison, especially as time goes on, is excess mortality relative to the usual death rate. The euromomo project shows which countries are having a crisis. Data is limited for central European countries but the usual suspects show a spiking mortality rate. Also a difference between the North and South of Ireland.

In other news, some states in Germany are reopening shopping malls because individual shops are under the agreed limit of 800m²... A shopping Sunday in Cologne was canceled only after outcries. And they said caution has to be the order of the day. Sometimes I wonder whether humanity will survive this century. Is this the big filter?

Schengen is toast!

by epochepoque on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 05:41:35 PM EST
can't hide death (none / 1)


Schengen is toast!
by epochepoque on Wed Apr 22nd, 2020 at 08:55:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Covid 19 not the big filter (none / 0)
{Global Warming -> Climate Change -> Weather Change} will be the big filter.  Land area between 30 degrees North and South of the equator, or roughly where 80% of the global population lives will be severely affected.  Political, social, and economic instabilities - think "Arab Spring," the rise of ISIS, etc. - caused by food and water shortages are certain.  

In fact we're already starting to see such happening along the India/Pakistan border over control of the Indus river basin.  India recently grabbed control of the headwaters of the Indus: Kashmir.  Thus India now controls who, where, and how irrigation can happen in the Indus valley. Pakistan simply cannot allow India stay in control since it would mean submitting to covert or overt rule of Pakistan by the BJP.

Prognosis in the long run: war


She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Wed May 6th, 2020 at 03:13:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Comparing different approaches to Covid-19 containment | 56 comments (56 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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