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I've said it for some time, and I think current events are proving it out: The EU was never intended to be a real union but rather was cooked up to give the BRD a comparatively soft landing for political reunification and economic reorganization, and when it served its purpose, Germany would pull the plug.  If the EU were meant for the long haul, it would at the least have real sovereign authority making the Euro a real sovereign currency (I know there are a number here who insist the EU is sovereign and the Euro is a sovereign currency.  Ahem.  First, who possesses the militaries, the EU or the members?  Second, if the Supreme Court of California ruled that the Federal government's distributing tax money from California to Mississippi was illegal, the Federal government's and the markets' response would be, "That's adorable, now why don't you run along and play," not the kerfuffle caused by the recent German court decision.).

While it looks like Berlin is still some way off from pulling the plug, die Karlsruher Kardinaele have now waltzed in with their decision on ECB activity and appear determined to push the pace.  And what then?  What was inevitable from the start.  Let's face it, there was only so long this could run on before the French figured out they were one of the marks and not part of the con and get pissed off in ways only the French can.  And does it matter given that Germany seems to be on its usual course of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory?  Internal divisions are worsening, DB is a train wreck full of dumpster fires, and the government is determined to pursue a hard money policy (not just a neoliberal austerity policy, which is bad enough) that has historically proved disastrous, such as the rolling and endless recession in the US the entire last quarter of the nineteenth century.  What does a football team do if its goalie doesn't even know which side of the net to stand on?  It gets a new goalie.  Or it gives up.

by rifek on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 04:50:43 PM EST
A quick solution: Dexit. Without Germany the Euro-Zone and the ECB could be functional entities. Once that was shown to be the case Germany would be clamoring to get back in. When out, who could afford their exports when denominated in Deutchmarks?

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 06:32:25 PM EST
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I don't think the Karlruhe Kardinales caused too much of a stir. Everybody knows the ECB is subject to EU and not German law, and so long as the ECJ goes along with it, the ECB can ignore Germany.

Yes, the Germans can throw their toys out of the pram or even get out of the pram altogether. They might be surprised how few would be bothered by that and follow them - Holland? Finland?

Meanwhile the ECB could become a real central bank and the other members could discuss steps towards greater fiscal union. Lots of things are possible when the requirement for unanimity is removed.

A multi-speed EU may be just what the doctor ordered...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat May 9th, 2020 at 10:40:55 PM EST
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Having Germany leaving the Euro and reintroducing the Deutschmark was the initial program of AfD.
by Bernard on Sun May 10th, 2020 at 08:43:57 AM EST
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