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Navalny, Novichok, and Nord Stream 2
if indeed the Russian state was indeed guilty of poisoning Navalny, why on earth would it allow his transfer to Germany? And why would it carry out such a criminal act during the last phase of the Nord Stream pipeline project, in which so much has been invested? Politically and geopolitically, such an act would absolutely backfire. By eliminating an opposition member such as Alexei Navalny, it would no doubt produce a furious reaction from both foreign powers and domestic opposition, only encouraging anti-government activism.

[...] As in the Skripal case, the timing of the incident couldn't be worse for the Kremlin. Then, it was just before the Russian world cup; in this case, it is just before the completion of Nord Stream 2 and when the Trump administration has spoken of meeting with Putin later this year.

by das monde on Fri Sep 11th, 2020 at 10:12:23 AM EST
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I don't particularly want to disagree with Craig Murray, but the fact remains that someone in Russia poisoned Navalny with a nerve agent on an aeroplane, then someone pressured the hospital into attempting to cover up this fact.

His assertion that "they" could have refused to divert the flight, or had him killed in hospital... The problem with that is that Russia, though not exactly an open society, is not exactly a closed one either, and either event would have been difficult to cover up, amounting to a signature to the crime.

In Russia, there are many powerful people who must have reasons to prefer Navalny dead; it doesn't have to be Putin. But clearly, nobody in power is interested in investigating the attempted murder.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Tue Sep 15th, 2020 at 11:03:35 AM EST
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Sorry, I thought you were quoting Craig Murray.

But it seems that "Johanna Ross, journalist based in Edinburgh, Scotland" basically paraphrased Murray's opinion, adding a few giveaways such as :

Furthermore, it's worth considering Navalny's popularity and reach within Russia. According to a recent poll by Levada, the opposition activist would gain around 2% of the vote in a presidential election was to be held, compared to 56% who would re-elect Vladimir Putin


It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Tue Sep 15th, 2020 at 11:10:36 AM EST
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The fact remains that Navalnyi had none of the symptoms of nerve agent poisoning.

The fact remains that Germany has given no actual evidence of poisoning, and refuses to do so when asked.

The fact remains that according to US Military study published in Cell human body degrades organophosphates (Novichok) so fast that if Navalnyi was poisoned in Omsk or in the plane, none would have been left in his body by the time he reached Charite. There would be metabolites, sure, but those would not indicate the actual poison with any certainty.

The fact remains that Russia has already done the preliminary investigation. They have interrogated Navalnyi's entourage, people on the plane, people on the airport and people he was in contact with in Tomsk. To turn that into a criminal investigation, they need Germany to give some, any, proof that a crime indeed has been done. For reasons unknown, Germany refuses to do this - saying either that it's up to OPCW to communicate with Russia (OPCW says they haven't been provided with any evidence either) or that they need Navalnyi's consent to provide any information.

As far as I'm aware, Navalnyi's anti-corruption foundation has not been very effective in fighting corruption. They have found some procedural errors in couple of public tenders, but that's about it. The big corruption cases, like the latest one in Vyborg, are found out by investigative media or actual police investigations. Independent media in Russia calls Navalnyi a "blogger", because that's pretty much what he does with any effect.

Navalnyi, at best, is a nuisance for some of the oligarchs. That's why recently, when Navalnyi's foundation was ordered to pay huge damages to the city of Moscow (foundation made provably false claims about the quality of school meals), man providing those meals, Prigoshin, bought the damages claim from Moscow, and now can shut down Navalnyi's operation at will. Why go trough that trouble and then try to off the man?

The very fact that Navalnyi was allowed to leave Russia while borders are closed to regular people, while still on parole (for embezzlement) and under investigation (for money laundering) has convinced many Russians that he is actually either FSB or has powerful friends among those he claims to fight.

Considering that his supporters finally managed to get a couple of seats in a few regional councils this week, he must be royally pissed off his wife arranged him out of the country without chance to return in the foreseeable future. BND will not let him go while they can use him to prevent Merkel moving away from trans-Atlantic binds.

by pelgus on Tue Sep 15th, 2020 at 12:50:55 PM EST
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