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For October surprise I have for some years figured Venezuela. Oil-rich, economy battered, no nearby allies that can back them up, and established bi-partisan consensus that Maduro has to go.

IIRC it is the new House that votes on president. What if the House elections are also disputed? Or are the districts to gerrymandered for such an outcome?

by fjallstrom on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 05:55:59 AM EST
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Then the law of succession goes into action. First, Speaker of the House. If there is no House, that's out. Then comes President pro tempore of the Senate. If Class 2 elections are also screwed up, that usually means the most senior member of the majority party (D), but that's not a firm rule, so it could also mean Biden (or Sanders....)
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 07:29:43 AM EST
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Majority Party of the US Senate is (R). I do not expect that to change.
by StillInTheWilderness on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 04:45:24 PM EST
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I said
If Class 2 elections are also screwed up
If the election doesn't take place, they are out. The Democrats have a majority among Class 1 and Class 3.
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 04:51:31 PM EST
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Then we descend into Caesarism. I've been expecting it for some time.
by StillInTheWilderness on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 04:44:18 PM EST
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The House does indeed select the President if the election is indeterminate, but each member does not have a vote. Each state delegation gets one vote. Alabama iws equal to California. Montana is equal to New York. Without checking, that probably means Trump.
by StillInTheWilderness on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 04:48:10 PM EST
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30 states went Trump last time
by asdf on Thu Aug 20th, 2020 at 10:27:11 PM EST
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