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Colorado seems like as sure a bet as one could make.  Arizona looks highly likely because McSally is the Republicans' answer to Martha Coakley.  

Maine and NC seem to be in pretty good shape.  That's enough to get to 50 assuming Jones loses (which he will barring a complete collapse by Trump).

After that, it gets tough.  Iowa seems likeliest to flip.  Georgia is possible, although I wish to god Abrams had run instead of Ossoff.  Two of the three Dems also need to drop out of the second Georgia race since it's a Jungle Primary.

Kansas, Alaska, Texas and South Carolina seem to have potential (Cornyn and Graham are polling with really weak numbers).

I guess we could get a polling miss and see Bullock win in Montana, but it doesn't look good there.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Thu Sep 17th, 2020 at 10:38:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A week later and Graham is actually behind in S.C., even if only by about 2 pts. on average. It will be sweet if HE loses. And Iowa is showing a consistent small lead for Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield, averaging ~2.6 pts. and from three quality polling organizations. Even one more Senate seat for the Democrats would make governing easier.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Tue Sep 29th, 2020 at 12:54:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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