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According to a recent CNN report (no link) the Republican lead with white voters is down to +3. Compare to the +15 (59/39) in 2016 when whites were 74% of the total vote.  

According to a Pew 2020 voter projection (no link) whites will be ~68% of the electorate.  Since 2000 Republican need whites to be at least 72% to win.

IF these hold Trump and the GOP in general is in deep, deep, trouble.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Tue Sep 8th, 2020 at 05:01:02 PM EST
Depending on how effective his 'selective' voter suppression turns out to be. I suspect he will suppress at least as much of his own vote as he does of Biden's.


"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Tue Sep 8th, 2020 at 06:49:57 PM EST
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I think Clinton actually only won 37%.

I doubt very much Biden comes within 10, let alone 3, of Trump among whites.  If he can hit 39 or 40, he should be in fine shape.  If he can hit (say) 42 or 43, he should win going away.

IF he only lost them by 3, I'd likely be in bed by 9PM if I could drink enough to stop laughing.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Tue Sep 15th, 2020 at 09:17:15 PM EST
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