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Any such solutions would be temporary, pending a UK/EU trade deal, and failing that until there is a more formal re-unification of Ireland, politically and/or economically.

Pending a UK/EU trade deal....
Just how likely is a deal after this? If Johnson goes through with his "special and detailed" changes how much would you trust him in negotiations 2021?
Re-unification sounds more likely.

by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Thu Sep 10th, 2020 at 07:43:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It all depends on how ruthlessly the EU responds. If the EU takes the view that a short sharp shock is needed to bring the UK to ts senses and avoid a long drawn out and damaging conflict, it could literally stop all except the most vital EU imports at Calais and shut down half the UK export economy.

Of course the EU would also suffer some damage, but it might take the view that this needs to be resolved quickly, one way or the other. German car exports can always make up lost sales at a later stage. EU farmers could be cushioned for lost income through the CAP.

If Boris tries to hold out, many UK firms will close permanently and irreversibly. If anything, Covid-19 has taught EU governments that drastic actions can and sometimes must be taken, and the public will accept them if the rationale is strong enough.

Ireland will be most directly in the firing line but it has such a long and painful history with Britain that most people will accept considerable sacrifices rather than capitulate (again) to the British. Boris doesn't know what he is stirring up if this turns bad. The nationalists won't surrender.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Sep 10th, 2020 at 08:13:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
On the car parts thing : given that the petroleum car industry is in profound crisis with prospects of a decade of terminal decline... how crucial is the UK in an electric/hydrogen context, I wonder?

Instinctively I see the UK as having  historical and manufacturing expertise concentrated around the internal combustion engine, rather than the wider car-manufacturing industry, am I wrong?

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Sep 11th, 2020 at 10:01:52 AM EST
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It used to have it all, but is now relying largely on the exclusive/luxury sports car industry and foreign owned manufacturing plants like Honda, Nissan (Renault), Toyota, Jaguar Land Rover (Tata), Mini and Rolls-Royce (BMW), Bentley (VW) and Vauxhall Motors (PSA). Guess which plants Tata, BMW, Renault or PSA close first if they have over-capacity issues. AFAIK very little major electric/hydrogen car manufacturing or development takes place in the UK. In 2019, Honda announced that its Swindon plant will close by 2021

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Sep 11th, 2020 at 11:28:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If the EU thinks any shock therapy will work on the UK, I have a former UK bridge in Arizona to sell them.
by rifek on Wed Sep 23rd, 2020 at 03:30:54 PM EST
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