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I'm trying to figure out the down side to the pro-Protocol parties of starting to scream for a referendum on the Protocol.  The Government will never let it happen, and then it should not be that hard to hang on the DUPes that their former coalition partner has zero interest in the North's opinion or condition and that the coalition was purely for the DUPes' aggrandizement at the expense of the North.
by rifek on Sat Oct 16th, 2021 at 02:17:21 AM EST
The Protocol already provides for the democratically elected N. Ireland assembly to vote on the continuance of the protocol every four years. The unionists (and Tory's) problem is that they can no longer control a majority of the Assembly, and with the DUP currently at 13% in the polls, may soon become a smaller and smaller minority within it.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Nov 1st, 2021 at 05:41:38 PM EST
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If they bang on the Protocol until it collapses, the North will quickly have the same supply chain issues as GB.  Not a good look, and one it would be easy to tar the unionists with.  The only trap for the nationalists would be having to have a care not to look too happy about it.
by rifek on Wed Nov 3rd, 2021 at 04:49:53 AM EST
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The only way the protocol can "collapse" is for the British government to invoke A.16 or continue to unilaterally refuse to implement it. If that happens a UK EU trade war will ensue with devastating economic implications for the UK economy and supply chains, but one which will effect northern Ireland hardly at all because of the open border with the south. Anything which exacerbates the current differentiation between the British and N. Ireland economies post Brexit is good for the nationalist cause, as it highlights the advantages of being part of the the Irish and Single Markets.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Nov 3rd, 2021 at 08:45:23 AM EST
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