The only way the protocol can "collapse" is for the British government to invoke A.16 or continue to unilaterally refuse to implement it. If that happens a UK EU trade war will ensue with devastating economic implications for the UK economy and supply chains, but one which will effect northern Ireland hardly at all because of the open border with the south. Anything which exacerbates the current differentiation between the British and N. Ireland economies post Brexit is good for the nationalist cause, as it highlights the advantages of being part of the the Irish and Single Markets.

Index of Frank's Diaries