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Invoking Art. 16 would be too confrontational and the EU Commission would need to act. I expect both parties to circumvent that underwater cliff and accept a watered-down NI Protocol ... kicking the can down the road. The EU knows the Biden administration is pushing back on Boris Johnson and wonder how much of EU envoy Šefčovič's proposal was coordinated with Washington.

Lord Frost and Šefčovič discuss NI Protocol in Brussels

Furthermore both the UK and EU are in a stranglehold of extremist members. Johnson pushed by domestic issues and the EU by increased division amongst its members and some crucial elections and election results.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sat Oct 16th, 2021 at 10:08:23 AM EST
The DUP could well threaten to collapse the power sharing institutions of the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement if Frost doesn't trigger it. They are that mad...

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat Oct 16th, 2021 at 10:56:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Article 16 is quite specific. I think the UK Govt have observed before that it allows for measured responses which are' ultimately, resolved by the European Courts of Justice.

Aside from the fact that involving the ECJ is alleged to be part of the problem of the NIP, it hardly matches the self-styled maverick nature of the UK's relationship with the EU to have measured responses to and fro.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sat Oct 16th, 2021 at 01:17:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is to be expected. A divorce stirs up all sorts of family feuds, on both sides. Old grudges that had been papered over come out of the woodwork.

And Imperial ambitions die hard. The US will be next as it unaccountably picks fights with the nation that it has surrendered it's economy to.  Just this morning I got an Email from the (US) Naval Institute comparing the US-China situation to the US-Japan situation pre-WW II and calling for a Naval buildup.  Dreams of old glory die hard.

Unlike many (most?) progressives I am not pro-China. But a recent show of indignation by the US government about China tracking an American nuclear sub passing through the Taiwan Strait got me shaking my head.  
I looked up the distances. Taiwan is one hundred miles from the mainland. Cuba is 90 miles from Florida. What would the US say if China ran Nuclear submarines between Florida and Cuba into the Gulf of Mexico? International waters - but...    

by StillInTheWilderness on Sat Oct 16th, 2021 at 01:52:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I talked over my second paragraph with my daughter, telling her that NI was comparing China to 1940 Japan.

She remarked, "Japan didn't have nukes."

Yes. I have no desire to go up in flames for someone else's nostalgia.  The US Navy is desperately trying to be relevant and the British Navy is a pale shadow of the 19th Century British Navy that "ruled the waves".

by StillInTheWilderness on Sun Oct 17th, 2021 at 07:05:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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