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Number of tests and positivity rates ...

Dutch caretaker cabinet and OMT Team surprised by serie of SARS CoV-2 variants.

Loosening too soon, ahead in Europe with economic recovery and surprising low unemployment ... a matter of priority.

'Sapere aude'

by Oui (Oui) on Sun Dec 19th, 2021 at 05:45:16 PM EST
Covid-19: Stop tracing and quarantining of contacts, says Ministerial Advisory Committee, sampling errors galore
The proportion of people with immunity to Covid-19 (from infection and/or vaccination) has risen substantially, exceeding 60-80% in several serosurveys [measuring of antibody levels against infectious diseases].

"We have learned more about the manner in which Covid-19 is spread, and also now have to contend with variants of concern whose epidemiology differs from that of the ancestral strains of SARS-CoV-2.
[...]
"In addition, among the small proportion of symptomatic cases, testing is far from universal, since patients may not seek testing when their symptoms are mild and when testing would be burdensome and expensive. Furthermore, the SARS-CoV-2 test sensitivity is suboptimal, sometimes leading to false negative results.

"The inability of the current testing strategy to identify the bulk of cases is illustrated by the high SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity rates seen across multiple provinces in serosurveys, implying that only a fraction of cases (perhaps one in 10, or even less) are ever diagnosed."

by Cat on Sun Dec 19th, 2021 at 09:11:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
HHS forecast shows Omicron stretching U.S. Covid [sic] testing supply.
NB. HHS/CDC interest in SARS-CoV-2 variants and antibodies of concern ended last year in time for Joe's Independence Day (April) and before Fauci's (un)expected delta SURGE (July).
The U.S. is currently recording more than 1.6 million daily Covid-19 tests, according to a tracker maintained by Johns Hopkins University. Many at-home antigen tests are not reported to public health authorities -- meaning millions of results from the increasingly popular [if unavailable] rapid [COVID-19] tests are likely not included in that count.
soooo how does the administration arrive at
estimates that the number of infections driven by the [omicron] is doubling every two days.
oh right. Self-diagnosed "scratchy throat" instead of "sore throat" indicates the omicron pathogen.
by Cat on Sun Dec 19th, 2021 at 11:16:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Public health experts and even some lawmakers have warned for months that the U.S. needs a ["]more robust["] testing system, especially with the virus[es] likely to continue circulating well after the pandemic officially[?!] ends
again.
"The thing that's more important than the number of tests is how fast the results come back," [The Rockefeller Foundation's Pandemic Prevention Institute pathogen surveillance director Sam] Scarpino said. "In some ways, it would be more important for us to be doing fewer [COVID-19] tests and getting them back to people faster. We're gonna have to be ready for prioritizing who gets access to those tests."
by Cat on Sun Dec 19th, 2021 at 11:26:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Q. When are "estimates in a range" a count?
A. Never.

Q. When is "overcounting" fully- and triple-vaccinated persons as a never- and partially-vaccinated population politically advantageous for FDA clients and democratically elected representatives of the most ignorant, litigious nation on planet?
A. When pharmaceutical prescriptions for escalating "estimates in a range" of moderate and severe COVID-19 cases is demonstrably ineffective.

Vaccine Data Gaps Point to Millions More in U.S. Who Lack Shots

"We don't have any faith in the numbers on the CDC website, and we never refer to them," [James Garrow, a spokesman for the Philadelphia Department of Public Health] said.
[...]
The official U.S. gap between people with just one dose and those who are fully vaccinated -- about 11 percentage points -- far outpaces other nations. The next highest gap discrepancy among G7 nations is the U.K., at 6.7 percentage points, according to the Bloomberg Vaccine Tracker. ... In the European Union, it's just 2.6 percentage points.

State officials say the explanation isn't that Americans are uniquely unlikely to get a second shot but instead that the country's health system, unlike its G-7 peers, is exceptionally fragmented. Each state maintains its own set of data, some have several, and all ["]blend["] their information with data from health providers such as pharmacies and federal programs

by Cat on Mon Dec 20th, 2021 at 03:52:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah, the US is probably the most boosted country. Max Titers tends to lose his vax card a lot.
by generic on Mon Dec 20th, 2021 at 07:06:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Colorado Democrat tests positive for COVID-19 after trip to to Ukraine
Hours before Crow announced his diagnosis, Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Cory Booker (D-N.J.) revealed that they tested positive for COVID-19 breakthrough cases.

Warren said she tested positive on Sunday, noting that she "regularly test[s] for COVID." She said she is experiencing mild symptoms, crediting the vaccine and booster shot for protecting her against serious illness.

pre-alpha, alpha, beta, delta, gamma, lamda, or omicron?
by Cat on Mon Dec 20th, 2021 at 01:59:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Cat on Sun Dec 19th, 2021 at 09:31:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Fauci says omicron variant is 'just RAGING around the world'
"the real problem" for the U.S. hospital system is that "we have so many people in this country who are eligible to be vaccinated who have not yet been vaccinated." differential diagnoses and inadequate clinical therapies.
[...]
the country has been battered by an unrelenting waveCOVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 mutations and variations that have left many Americans emotionally exhausted, dispirited and worried about infections surviving COVID-19 health care in and discharge from hospital
wut
With the threat that rising infections could worsen the supply chain challenges facing the United States and fuel inflation, [said] Gov. Jared Polis, D-Colo.
wut
The administration is expecting a series of breakthrough [vaccine or antiviral] infections[!] with the surge of holiday travelers. Fauci said most people who have been vaccinated and gotten a booster should be fine if they take precautions
wut
Fauci told NBC he saw the variants coming and he thought [Kamala?!] Harris' statement "was taken a bit out of context," adding he believed she was referring to "the extraordinary number of mutations [alpha,  delta, gamma, lamda, omicron] ... particularly with omicron. No one had expected it that much but we were well-prepared and expected that we were going to see variants."
by Cat on Sun Dec 19th, 2021 at 10:46:01 PM EST
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